AI & Technology

AI made email cheap, but relevance is still expensive

By Ben Billups, Founder of Breaker

Nearly every marketing team is using AI in the exact same way: to produce more content, faster. The predictable result in email marketing is a more crowded inbox filled with messages that are individually less valuable. Gartner’s guidance for CMOs warns that B2B buyers are being buried under badly executed digital outreach and are punishing the brands that send too much.  

Blind volume has always been a bad idea, but now it is easier than ever! 

However, this realization has caused another subculture of marketers to reject AI entirely. And while that may preserve authenticity, it still leaves real value on the table. 

The most valuable thing AI can do in email marketing is help decide who should get a message, what they need to hear, and whether they need to hear from your brand at all. 

Volume was never a real constraint 

B2B buying is often slow and crowded. Research conducted by Gregory Kennedy indicates that 95% of B2B purchases go to vendors the buyers already knew prior to initiating a vendor search, and that thought leadership puts unknown vendors into play by creating trust prior to a search. 

Typically, a prospect sees or interacts with a brand roughly 12 to 21 times before taking any action (NP Digital reports 12-16 times for B2B purchases over $1,000 and most B2B organizations are selling contracts well over that figure). Depending on how many channels a company runs and how much (high-quality) content they produce, that can take one month or twelve. 

Under those conditions, the constraint on email performance was never how many messages a team could produce. The constraint was knowing which message will resonate with which decision-maker prior to experiencing a need. 

Your audience is a moat 

When every competitor has the same generative capability, the tool is not a competitive advantage. What separates one company’s AI-powered email from others is the data underneath it. A subscriber list with a full history of who opened what, who clicked which link, who replied, and who eventually bought is a proprietary asset that no competitor can buy or prompt into existence. 

This is what the email buzzword “owned audience” actually means. Ownership means owning a proprietary behavioral record combined with an inexpensive means of distribution. That makes targeting, timing, and personalization possible in ways that can’t be replicated. 

Intent is greater than demographics 

Most segmentation still starts with demographics: industry, company size, title; but that only answers whether someone could buy. It says nothing about whether they are likely to.  

Intent layered on top of an ICP is what makes the difference. Think of buying as a bullseye, with each behavioral signal sitting in a ring around it based on how much intent it demonstrates. 

Opening an issue is an outer ring. Visiting a pricing page after a send is closer. Clicking a demo link and not booking is nearly the center, and that person should hear from sales the same day. Any segment built on a closer ring outperforms one built on a farther ring, and both outperform spray-and-pray tactics. 

Understand your data  

Not every signal is created equal. Open rates have been unreliable since Apple began pre-loading tracking pixels in 2021, and Mailchimp’s own guidance now points marketers toward clicks, unsubscribes, and conversions instead. Security scanners click links to check for malicious content, so unfiltered click data has its own noise. A rising subscriber count feels good but means nothing if the new names are outside the ICP. 

The signals that hold up are the ones that show verifiable intent. A reply, a click on a pricing or offer link, or a second or third person from the same company subscribing within a few weeks, which almost always means the first one forwarded it. 

And above all: consistent engagement over time. A subscriber opening their 19th newsletter in a row is indicating you’re sending messages they find worth reading. 

Real personalization follows intent 

The most overlooked form of personalization is choosing not to send. A prospect at the outer ring does not need a sales email; they need something useful enough to keep reading. A prospect at the center does not need another newsletter; they need a phone call. 

Bad experiences in the inbox come from treating every subscriber the same way. 

Buyers are increasingly doing their research without a vendor in the room. Gartner’s latest survey found 67% prefer a rep-free experience and 45% used AI during a recent purchase. Those buyers will find a brand when they are ready. The work email is to make sure that you’re already on the short list. 

Where human judgment still lives 

AI models, by design, regress to the mean. They are trained on an average (and apparently a lot of Reddit posts), so a team that ships the first draft will sound like every other team shipping the first draft. Someone still has to know what a good output looks like, understand the customer’s real problem, and push the tool past its starting point. 

That has always been the skill in marketing, and it is the skill AI amplifies rather than replaces. Right message, right person, right time. 

 

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