AI Business Strategy

AI’s Role in Safeguarding Critical Infrastructure in a Volatile Climate

By Chris Bradshaw, Chief Sustainability & Education Officer, Bentley Systems

With the planet on track to warm to near-record levels over the next five years, the hopes of keeping global warming within 1.5°C of pre-industrial levels are fading. We must face this reality and shift our strategic focus towards climate adaptation and infrastructure resilience. Our collective future depends on it. 

The recent World Environment Day served as a stark reminder of our climate trajectory. It is both a rallying call for immediate action, and a signal that we are finally moving away from denial towards scalable solutions. Building truly resilient infrastructure is a defining generational challenge, but one that will be accelerated by deploying artificial intelligence alongside robust, data-centric systems. 

Maintaining Resilience in a Changing Climate 

Continuity of operations has been a government and business imperative since the dawn of civilisation. Today, however, resilient infrastructure is the very foundation of societal continuity. And that continuity is under unprecedented threat. While accelerating climate change and extreme weather remain the ultimate stress tests for our built environment, their impacts are compounded by legacy infrastructure and cyber vulnerabilities. 

A comprehensive analysis highlights that geopolitical risks, natural catastrophes, cyber threats, and aging assets are four converging forces destabilising critical infrastructure, warning that a single failure can trigger cascadingfailures across economic and public safety systems. A Bloomberg Intelligence report estimates that the costs linked to extreme weather are projected to double to more than $20 trillion globally over the coming decade – a figure that rivals a major financial crisis. 

Climate resilience is no longer a discretionary infrastructure investment. It is a macroeconomic necessity. A reactive approach is prohibitive. Instead, governments and businesses must focus on anticipating operational disruption before it strikes. 

To achieve this, we must bridge the gap between deep engineering expertise and digital intelligence. Organisations that embrace AI-powered, data-driven resilience will build physical networks that endure, safeguarding our environment, communities, and essential services in an increasingly volatile climate. 

Optimising Infrastructure Delivery 

AI plays a transformative role throughout the entire lifecycle of resilient infrastructure, beginning with design and construction where it provides the intelligence and computational power to decipher highly complex engineering environments. 

Take, for example, the Brooklyn Bridge-Montgomery Coastal Resilience project, which mitigates climate-related flooding through permanent deployable barriers. Constructed in one of the most densely built areas of New York alongside active urban infrastructure, contractors needed a way to manage dynamic construction variables from moment to moment. 

Using AI-based digital construction delivery software, engineers created construction sequencing simulations that unlocked real-time visibility into the complex sequence of work, mitigated potential clashes, and streamlined decision-making. In total, they converted approximately 2,000 construction activities into a single digital representation that dynamically adjusted to shifting conditions across the wider project area. 

Monitoring for Climate Impacts 

In the operational phase, organisations must rapidly assess damage or weaknesses caused by extreme weather events intensified by climate change. The larger and more geographically dispersed the asset, the more complex this challenge becomes. 

In South Africa, the Western Cape Government is adopting AI-driven solutions to improve resilience across approximately 5,000km of strategic road networks. 

By combining crowdsourced dashcam images with machine learning and computer vision, they can identify infrastructure risks before they cause major failures. Given the increase in extreme flooding in the region, this approach is transformational, enabling the rapid detection of potholes, damaged guardrails, and drainage issues as well as flagging vegetation overgrowth that can impair stormwater management. 

Putting Digital Twins to Work 

AI-powered “evergreen” digital twins play a vital role in predictive maintenance. By combining 3D models with IoT sensor data, these digital twins provide an always-current reflection of reality that continuously updates in real time, empowering teams to make faster, smarter decisions and keep complex systems operational.  

For assets that are actively changing, aging, or bearing the brunt of environmental forces, live data enables accurate awareness of how those assets are performing at any given time. From a resilience perspective, this intelligence ensures that infrastructure can withstand and adapt to changing conditions, whether that’s extreme weather, shifting ground, or unexpected structural stress. The actionable intelligence delivers real-time alerts,allowing teams to intervene early. 

Intelligent Adaptability for a Changing Future 

The message from World Environment Day is clear. We must accelerate sustainability initiatives, decarbonisation, and the energy transition. At the same time we should equally focus on adaptation and resilience. AI-based infrastructure planning, optimisation, monitoring, and maintenance are a significant element of our resilience toolkit, equipping governments and businesses to build stronger and safer for the decades ahead. Investing in AI and data-centric tools now ensures our critical infrastructure is built to last. 

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