AI Business Strategy

What the supply chain playbook can teach other industries about measuring the ROI of AI

By Jett McCandless, Founder & CEO, project44

Enterprise AI has entered its outcomes era. 

Across industries, leaders face growing pressure to prove their AI delivers more than promising pilots. The real test is whether it improves business performance. 

Yet, many organizations continue to measure the wrong things. They track employee adoption, token consumption, and workflow integrations. Those metrics show whether AI is being deployed, but speed to deploy is not the same as speed to value. Value shows up in better operational and financial outcomes.  

Supply chain leaders are accustomed to measuring real-world outcomes. Are goods moving faster? Is service more reliable? Are inventory costs under control? AI must be held to the same standard.  

These measures give supply chain organizations a practical way to evaluate AI by linking it to the outcomes that already define performance. As more companies move beyond experimentation, this results-based approach offers a practical model.  

How the supply chain connects measurement to operational performance 

AI adoption is accelerating, and investment is following across industries. Deloitte found that 91% of organizations plan to increase AI investment again next year. But the majority report that while their AI capabilities have improved, the ROI they receive doesn’t match what they are spending 

The supply chain offers a lens for examining this challenge because automation and efficiency have long shaped how the industry operates. Years before AI Agents entered the picture, supply chain organizations were using automation and machine learning to connect data, improve execution and make predictions across complex networks. 

That history provides a practical foundation for applying AI to operational problems and for measuring whether it works. Key benchmarks already exist: ETA accuracy, on-time in-full delivery, cost, inventory levels, and service reliability. 

Other industries can learn from the measurement discipline that exists in the supply chain. The lesson is simple. Start with the outcomes that define performance, then evaluate AI against them. 

How other industries can apply the supply chain playbook 

The most useful AI opportunities are often the ones where operational pressure can be tied to measurable outcomes. Across logistics operations, pressure points that occur daily like delayed updates, idle shipments, route deviations, and unclear exception prioritization are exacerbated by geopolitical events, extreme weather, labor strikes and more. 

Other industries have their own versions of those moments. They show up wherever your employees are chasing information, sorting through repeated issues, or making time-sensitive decisions with incomplete context. These-day to-day inefficiencies become mission critical issues when the stakes increase. AI can help teams predict, prepare, and act before an issue becomes a crisis. 

Start with the same test we run at project44 before any AI reaches a customer: Is the data reliable? Is the signal reliable? Is the action reliable? 

1. Close the data gaps behind slow decisions 

Slow decisions often start with missing or fragmented information. 

For a planner, this means an incomplete shipment identifier, a delayed carrier update, or a container that rolls without a clear explanation. 

Those tasks may seem small, but they add friction across the operation. When they happen across thousands of shipments, they consume time that could be spent solving higher-priority issues. AI can help by finding missing context, connecting data across systems, and surfacing the information people need to act.  

Measuring success here shows up in data accuracy or quality metrics, fewer delayed updates, faster exception resolution, or less time spent searching across systems before action can be taken.  

A few examples: One customer saw a 65% reduction in emails between forwarders and planners once missing information stopped requiring a manual chase. Another saved 50 hours a week for logistics specialists who no longer need to physically track containers or chase steamship lines. On average, customers are seeing data quality improvements between 4-7% using our AI Agents. 

2. Turn signal into judgment 

In high-volume operations, people need a better way to separate routine issues from problems requiring judgment. Some of the strongest AI use cases emerge when people are being asked to make fast decisions across more variables than they can reasonably process on their own. 

The supply chain is full of these moments. For example, a planner needs to consider carrier performance, congestion, weather, capacity, transit time, inventory position, and customer commitments before deciding how to respond to a disruption. Any one factor may be manageable. Together, they create high-stakes decisions where speed and context matter. 

Supply chain professionals need to know which issues require attention, what options are available, and where action will have the greatest impact. AI can analyze signals across systems, understand the conditions surrounding them, and identify which issues carry the greatest risk, enabling team members to spend less time sorting through issues and more time applying judgment where it matters most.  

Success can be measured by whether people identify the highest-risk issues sooner, act faster, and reduce the service failures that come from delayed or incomplete decisions. A few examples: one customer cut issue resolution time by 90% by providing real-time disruption signals to transportation managers. Another is seeing a 70% reduction in cycle time from missed pickup to actionable update across supply chain and planning teams.  

Look for similar decision points in your operation. The best opportunities are the daily decisions where your employees are constantly balancing changing conditions, incomplete information, and time-sensitive consequences. 

3. Turn triage into trusted action 

AI can also take action on your behalf. However, supply chain, like many industries, is filled with intelligent experienced professionals who are reticent to let AI take the reins.  This all comes down to trust. Trust in your AI operation must be earned, and can be built by providing configurability, auditability, and governance over what AI does and does not automate. Trust can only be earned by success. Our customers start with smaller, lower risk AI actions, focused on a specific task for a certain carrier, lane, or mode of transportation. Over time, when they see successful action combined with full explainability over what actions were taken and where, is that trust built.  

A few examples: one customer saw manual coordination (in this instance, emails and phone calls) drop 70% when managing late shipments with a specific carrier. Another customer cut lead time three days from port to primary distribution center by evaluating congestion and urgency to recommend rail vs driver and automating appointment booking. Another saved $325K in fees at one port alone by proactively enabling rolled container rebooking and proactively flagging last free day demurrage spend.   

Success here is measured by whether people trust AI enough to let it act, and whether that trust is earned: fewer routine issues requiring manual handling, resolving exceptions before they escalate. Across industries, that means measuring whether AI reduces manual touches, speeds up resolution, and prevents priority problems from turning into service failures or avoidable costs. 

AI value starts with the outcomes you can prove 

In the past few months, we’ve seen enterprises pull out the microscope to evaluate the effectiveness and ROI of AI investments. Evolving past the pilot stage requires a playbook tied to tangible business value, not possibilities. 

The supply chain’s playbook is simple: tie AI to outcomes, not activity. For supply chain and logistics, that means faster time to decision, lower accessorial costs, higher service levels, and better cash flow through inventory optimization. Every industry has its own version of that scorecard: speed, cost, service, cash.  

The companies that win the next phase of AI will be the ones who define their scorecard first and prove it fastest. 

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