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The AI Earnings Mirage: Why Enterprise Hype Isn’t Showing Up in the Numbers

By Conor Twomey, Co-Founder & CEO, AI One

Two years ago, boardrooms were abuzz with promises of artificial intelligence transforming every corner of the enterprise. Yet the numbers tell a sobering story. An S&P Globalย surveyย found that more than 40% of companies scrapped most of their AI projects in 2025, up from 17% the year before.ย Nearly halfย of AI proofs-of-concept never make it into production, andย overย 80% of AI projects failโ€”twice the rate of traditional IT projects. The biggest culprits? Cost, data privacy, and securityย concerns.ย 

These statistics echo a pattern from economic history that should worry every CEO. In the early 1900s, manufacturers installed electric motors in their factories, expecting immediate productivity gains. Instead, it took two to three decades before electricity was being used productively. The problemย wasnโ€™tย the technology โ€“ it was that manufacturers simply replaced steam engines with electric motors while keeping everything else the same. The revolution came only when they redesigned their factories from theย ground up.ย ย 

Todayโ€™s enterprises are making the same mistakeย withย AI.ย ย 

The Wrong Solutions to the Right Problemย 

The default playbook is predictable: pick a frontier model, hire consultants, launch pilots, repeat. Boardroom conversations focus on which LLM to deployโ€”Claude versus GPT versus Gemini. Engineering teams debate RAG architectures and vector databases. Some organizations are now turning to โ€œcontext engineering.โ€ In October, Gartner called context engineering a โ€œstrategic priorityโ€ for enterprises.ย ย 

But these approaches treat symptoms, not causes. The real problemย isn’tย choosing the wrong model or mis-engineering prompts.ย It’sย that AI modelsโ€”no matter how powerfulโ€”are fundamentally blind to your business. Knowledge about how dataย actually worksโ€”the relationships between systems, the meaning behind fields, the policies that govern decisionsโ€”lives in people’s heads and scattered documents, not in any reusable layer.ย 

RAND researchersย noteย that many AI projects collapse because teams misunderstand the underlying business problem or lack the data infrastructure to support their models. A 2025 Broadcom surveyย foundย that 55% of enterprises cite data quality as a major challenge for their AI initiatives, and 45% cite governance as a top challenge.ย Nearly identicalย numbers are prioritizing data platforms and data quality tools at 41% and 40%, respectively,ย accordingย toย Futurumย Group’s AI Data Quality Crisis Survey. Without shared definitions and consistent policies, AI initiatives rely on tribal knowledge and brittle integrations, which is why so many pilots are abandoned.ย 

A Different Playbookย 

The enterprises breaking through are doing something fundamentally different.ย They’reย not starting with technology choices.ย They’reย starting with economic analysis and building a governed layer that interprets how data, processes, and policies relate across the organization.ย 

Here’sย the playbookย that’sย actually working:ย 

First, start with cost analysis, not model analysis.ย Most AI initiatives begin with a technology choiceโ€”which LLM, which vendor, which framework. Instead, begin byย identifyingย where time, cost, or risk are concentrated in your value chain. Map the workflows where decisionsย stall,ย exceptions pile up, or manual handoffs cause delays. A global bank recently discovered that manual reconciliation was generating 400,000 exceptions annually, eachย requiringย human review.ย That’sย where AI can deliver measurable impactโ€”and where you should invest first.ย 

Then, set clear metrics to track that impact.ย Resistย the temptation to track pilot counts, use case inventories, or “AI-powered” feature launches. Focus on workflows where you can measure before and after clearly: quote-to-cash cycle time, claims resolution rates, onboarding duration, and reconciliation accuracy. Track uplift as time saved, headcount avoided, revenue accelerated, or risk reduced. Hold yourself to the same standards you would apply to any capital project.ย 

Finally, build context as a reusable asset, not a one-off integration.ย The goalย isn’tย to solve one workflow in isolation.ย It’sย to create a governed layer that connects directly to your existing systemsโ€”your databases, CRMs, legacy platformsโ€”without migration or duplication. This layer should interpret entities and relationships automatically, encode business policies, and expose a consistent view to any AI agent or application. When context is organized this wayโ€”curated once, governed centrally, reused across workflowsโ€”the economics finally start to bend in your favor. The second use case costs a fraction of the first. The tenthย costsย almost nothing.ย That’sย when AI stops being an expense center and becomes an operating system.ย 

The obvious pushback:ย isn’t this just another infrastructure project that will take years and millions to implement?ย 

It’sย a fair concern, especially given theย track recordย of enterprise transformation initiatives. But the successful implementationsย don’tย look like traditional IT projects. They start with a single high-impact workflowโ€”often somethingย that’sย costing the organization millions in manual processingโ€”and deliver measurable results inย 10 weeks, notย 18 months. Theyย don’tย require ripping out existing systems or massive data migrations. They connect to what you already have, interpret it, and make it usable by AI.ย 

The alternativeโ€”continuing to run AI pilots that never scale, hiring more consultants to chase the same problems, switchingย from one frontier model to anotherโ€”is theย truly expensiveย path.ย It’sย just that the costs are distributed andย hidden:ย in headcount that keeps growing, in pilots that get abandoned, in opportunities that slip away while competitors move faster.ย 

Thisย isnโ€™tย theoretical.ย Air Indiaโ€™sย virtual assistant Vihaan resolves 97% of more than four million passenger queries without human intervention. Microsoft hasย savedย $500โ€ฏmillion a year by deploying contextโ€‘aware agents in its callย centres. These are real numbers that show up on the P&L.ย ย 

The Choice Aheadย 

The gap between AI storytelling and AIย financial impactย is widening, not narrowing. The fundamental constraintย isn’tย computational power or model sophistication.ย It’sย whether AI understands your business well enough to make decisions you can trust.ย 

The winners will be organizations that treat AI as an operating system for workflows builtย on realย business context. The losers will keep adding slideware and proof-of-concept dashboards while their engineers quietly hold the enterprise together with spreadsheets and manual checks.ย ย 

It took three decades for enterprises to figure out how to use electric motors properly. Weย don’tย have 30 years for AI. The question every board should be asking today is simple: which side are we on?ย 

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