AI & Technology

From Open Banking to AI: how payments are becoming more intelligent

By Lee McNabb, Payments and Digital Assets Leader at NatWest Group

The way we make and interact with payments is changing quickly. As technology evolves, the infrastructure behind everyday payments is being reshaped to meet rising expectations and support new forms of digital value. 

Payments have long benefited from automation, but AI represents a different shift. Through delegation, it creates the potential for payment journeys to become more contextual, predictive and responsive – helping money move at the right time, through the right route and within the right controls. 

At the same time, we’re moving towards a “multi-money” environment. Traditional money will sit alongside tokenised deposits and programmable forms of value.  

The real opportunity isn’t just co-existence, it’s connection. The focus now is on building an interoperable payments architecture that bridges these systems. Rather than dealing with fragmentation theaim is to build a seamlessly connected ecosystem that improves outcomes for both customers and institutions. 

With payments becoming embedded into daily digital journeys. Instead of sitting at the end of a process, they are now built into platforms and services. 

These changes create both opportunity and complexity, making trust, coordination and clarity across the ecosystem more important than ever. 

Open Banking as the foundation 

Open Banking has already started to change the role of payments by enabling direct, account-to-account movement from within digital journeys. Instead of relying on card details or manual input, customers can authorise a payment securely through their bank, reducing friction while strengthening confidence in the transaction. 

This matters because it brings a lower-cost, alternative option at checkout, whilse still being embedded into the customer experience and being instant, seamless and secure. When payments are faster, more secure and supported by real-time bank connectivity, customer expectations are heightened.  They increasingly expect money movement to work fast and seamlessly. 

For businesses, that means a more reliable way to collect payments and better conversion rates when the checkout experience is simple and trusted.

Where AI is adding value 

AI is building on this foundation by introducing a more adaptive layer to payments. 

Instead of just processing transactions, AI can support decision-making and help optimise payment flows. 

Gaining momentum is agentic AI, where systems act on behalf of users within set parameters. In payments, this could mean scheduling transactions, triggering payments when conditions are met, or managing funds across accounts. 

But control remains critical. Customers and businesses need clear visibility over what’s happening and why, otherwise trust is quickly lost. 

Trust, data and regulation 

One of the biggest challenges isn’t awareness – it’s confidence and understanding. While new payment technologies are becoming more visible, many customers and businesses need reassurance before they adopt them. 

This means innovation must be supported by clear communication and strong governance. Trust is shaped by each positive, individual experience – and plays a direct role in driving adoption.  

As AI becomes more involved in decision-making, questions around consent, control and data usage become more important. Customers must remain in control even as systems become more automated. Evolving current consent frameworks will be key to making Open Banking a viable pathway for AI led checkouts. Achieving this requires balancing user autonomy with shared industry standards and clear regulation. 

There’s also a growing focus on data quality. Poor or inconsistent data can lead to poor decisions, especially when automation is involved. Reliable, real-time data is now essential and, Open Banking’s standardisation of access to that data is even more relevant in an agentic future. 

Regulation will continue to underpin all of this. It helps ensure consistency across the ecosystem and reduce the risk of fragmentation across systems and providers. 

Collaboration across the system 

The UK Payments Initiative (UKPI) represents an important step in the evolution of account-to-account payments. The industry-led scheme is designed to move Open Banking beyond one-off transactions and enable scalable, automated and recurring payments - variable recurring payments (VRPs) - through a shared commercial and operational framework.  

At its core, this changes how recurring payments are managed. Instead of relying on card-on-file models or traditional direct debits, payments can be made dynamically within agreed limits, giving consumers greater visibility and control while enabling businesses to collect funds more flexibly.  

It’s not simply a technical enhancement, but a structural shift in how recurring payment models are delivered. It reduces friction in setup and execution, lowers processing costs, and improves success rates by linking payments directly to bank accounts rather than intermediated card rails.  

Like other developments in payments, its success will depend on trust, interoperability and adoption across the ecosystem. But it shows how collaboration can unlock the next phase of Open Banking atscale, across banks, regulators, technology providers and the wider industry. 

AI is similar. Its value lies in how it works with existing payments systems, helping them become more intelligent, adaptive and responsive to real-world needs. 

A connected future for payments 

No single technology will define the future of payments. Open Banking, AI and digital assets  are all part of a broader shift towards more connected, more programmable and more embedded ways to manage and move money. 

The opportunity is not simply to make transactions faster. It’s to create a better, interoperable payments infrastructure that can respond to context, support better decisions and move value with greater confidence and efficiency. But that will only work if trust keeps pace with innovation. As payments become more intelligent, customers and businesses must still understand what is happening, why it is happening and how they remain in control. 

Done well, these capabilities will come together to create a payments experience that is seamless, secure and trusted. Making payments not just more efficient, but more useful in the moments that matter. 

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